The Establishments and their Troubles

Alexander P. De Filippi

Sunday, January 27, 2008

Both parties establishments are having serious troubles with their favorites, I believe that so far the democrat establishment can still save senator Hillary Clinton from a defeat at the hands of senator Barack Obama, but I am not so sure about governor Huckabee. It seems that in the case of the republicans the two factions that make up the establishment are divided, in effect, it appears that the business, oil, military oriented corporative community is not comfortable with a protestant minister as a nominee, you can see signals of that by the endorsements of McCain nomination by the Florida governor and the Florida senator Mel Martinez, perhaps an important section of the Republican Party sees Senator McCain as more electable than Huckabee, because of his appeal to moderates and independents, and perhaps they have already cut a deal with the Senator. However, Senator McCain won’t be acceptable to all conservatives because of his past confrontations with mainstream republicans, for that reason Senator McCain may nominate governor Huckabee as his vice-president, at first glance that mix could win anything that the democrats can throw. Additionally, president McCain may die, his age remember, before his term, leaving Huckabee as the first protestant minister in the White House.

On the Democrats side things look more troublesome than in the republicans’, the rebels and the establishment are in a tough duel, tougher than the one they had with Governor Dean back in 2004, although this time the rebels are making more troubles for the establishment than in that past occasion. I’m still of the opinion that Hillary Clinton, no one hundred percent sure though, will be the nominee, let’s see.